Americans Have High Lifetime Risk of Developing CKD.

At birth, individuals in the United States have a 59.1% overall lifetime risk of CKD stages 3a or higher, a 33.6% risk of developing CKD stage 3b or higher, an 11.5% risk of developing CKD stage 4 or higher, and a 3.6% overall lifetime risk of developing ESRD. Women have a greater CKD risk but a lower ESRD risk than men, and blacks of both sexes have higher risks of CKD stage 4 or higher than whites. The estimates, which are published in the American Journal of Kidney Diseases, are based on findings from a simulation study.